Showing 1 - 10 of 4,207
In this paper, we revisit the effects of government spending shocks on private consumption within an estimated New-Keynesian DSGE model of the euro area featuring non-Ricardian households. Employing Bayesian inference methods, we show that the presence of non-Ricardian households is in general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318358
This paper proposes a moment-matching method for approximating vector autoregressions by finite-state Markov chains. The Markov chain is constructed by targeting the conditional moments of the underlying continuous process. The proposed method is more robust to the number of discrete values and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010126857
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991349
general class of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models, characterized by both a leverage effect and jumps in returns … provides a feasible basis for undertaking the nontrivial task of model comparison. Furthermore, we introduce new volatility … model, namely SV-GARCH which attempts to bridge the gap between GARCH and stochastic volatility specifications. In nesting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014185810
volatility of output and its components. Specifically, the change in the joint stochastic process accounts for close to 70 … percent of the moderation in output volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048967
This paper models the relationship between growth and volatility for G7 economies in the time period 1960-2009. It … delivers for the first time estimates of this relationship based on a logarithm variant of stochastic volatility in mean (SV … show that output volatility has increased in all countries since the beginning of the financial crisis, which illustrates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141370
Policy counterfactuals based on estimated structural VARs routinely suggest that bringing Alan Greenspan back in the 1970s' United States would not have prevented the Great Inflation. We show that a standard policy counterfactual suggests that the Bundesbank – which is near-universally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153230
A factor stochastic volatility model estimates the common component to estimates of the output gap produced by the … staff of the Federal Reserve, its time-varying volatility, and time-varying, horizon-specific forecast uncertainty. Output …. Increased macroeconomic uncertainty, as measured by the common factor's volatility, leads to persistent negative responses in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232683
(DSGE) models with recursive preferences such as those in Epstein and Zin (1989 and 1991) and stochastic volatility. Models …. To fill this gap, we solve the stochastic neoclassical growth model with recursive preferences and stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111574
of such exercises. - Bayesian VARs ; time-varying parameters ; stochastic volatility ; identified VARs ; Great Inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969295