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/S analysis with the Hurst exponent method and fractional integration) are used to analyse persistence of the VIX index over the …This paper investigates the degree of persistence of market fear. Specifically, two different long-memory approaches (R … properties change over time: in normal periods it exhibits anti-persistence (there is a negative correlation between its past and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011669019
. The results indicate that persistence is higher at lower frequencies, for both returns and their volatility. This is true …This paper investigates persistence in financial time series at three different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619594
. The results indicate that persistence is higher at lower frequencies, for both returns and their volatility. This is true …This paper investigates persistence in financial time series at three different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619676
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011893067
The sum of squared intraday returns provides an unbiased and almost error-free measure of ex-post volatility. In this … paper we develop a nonlinear Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA) model for realized volatility …, which accommodates level shifts, day-of-the-week effects, leverage effects and volatility level effects. Applying the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335205
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011656648
-varying volatility of the data generating process can have rather adverse effects when inferring about its persistence; e.g. unit root … conditional heteroskedasticity). The paper explores the influence of time-varying volatility on fractionally integrated processes …. Concretely, we discuss how to model long memory in the presence of time-varying volatility, and analyze the effects of such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010375374
This paper introduces a new modelling approach that incorporates nonlinear, exponential deterministic terms into a fractional integration model. The proposed model is based on a specific version of Robinson's (1994) tests and is more general that standard time series models, which only allow for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014431268
We consider changes in the degree of persistence of a process when the degree of persistence is characterized as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756088
issue of estimation inaccuracy of the long memory parameter and the issue of spurious breaks in finite sample. Insights from … substantial improvement over existing prediction methods. An empirical application to the realized volatility of three exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077488