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We introduce a new multivariate stochastic volatility model, based on the presence of a latent common factor with random jumps. The common factor is parameterized as a permanent component using a compound binomial process. This model can capture common jumps in the latent volatilities between...
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used as an importance density for importance sampling (IS) or as a proposal density for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC … posterior inference, using IS and MCMC. Compared with other simulation smoothing methods, the HESSIAN method is highly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011052248
This work proposes the application of a stochastic volatility model with jumps to the BRL/USD exchange rate. This model decomposes the process into transitory and permanent components that capture the jumps in the level of the unobserved volatility process. The model estimation is done using...
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This paper proposes a class of stochastic volatility (SV) models which offers an alternative to the one introduced in Andersen (1994). The class encompasses all standard SV models that have appeared in the literature, including the well known lognormal model, and allows us to empirically test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005149106
diversification benefits. In order to identify the latent historical jumps for each of these energy futures, we use a Bayesian MCMC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010593872
I apply the model with unobserved components and stochastic volatility (UC-SV) to forecast the Russian consumer price index. I extend the model which was previously suggested as a model for inflation forecasting in the USA to take into account a possible difference in model parameters and...
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