We examine the role of structural breaks in forecasting stock return volatility. We begin by testing for structural breaks in the unconditional variance of daily returns for the S&P 500 market index and ten sectoral stock indices for 9/12/1989–1/19/2006 using an iterative cumulative sum of...

Forecasting macroeconomic variables using diffusion indexes in short samples with structural change / Anindya Banerjee, Massimiliano Marcellino, Igor Masten -- Predictive inference under model misspecification / Nii Ayi Armah, Norman R. Swanson -- Forecasting persistent data with possible...