This paper’s objective is to use SKAT, the author’s Stages of Knowledge Ahead Theory of risk, to shed fresh light on the treatment and prevention of mental disorders. SKAT employs a broad definition of risk that allows for nice – not merely nasty – possibilities. SKAT is here shown to...

The paper deals with bounded rationality understood in the tradition of H.A. Simon. Fundamental problems and theoretical issues are discussed. Special emphasis is put on aspiration adaptation theory. Further remarks concern basic models of decision behavior (like learning and expectation...

Zwei Experimente mit Entscheidungstrdgern aus der Praxis des Finanzmarkts sind durchgefuehrt worden, um die Frage zu klaeren, ob es Umstände gibt, unter denen der Fluch des Gewinners auch Kapitalmarktprofis gefdhrdet. Die Antwort ist ein klares "Ja". Der Fluch des Gewinners schlug nicht nur im...

The rational expectations hypothesis is supported if rational expectations are stable with respect to reasonable learning procedures. We consider the Stochastic Gradient-Algorithm as a boundedly rational learning procedure in an univariate ARX-Model with forecast feedback. We prove that whenever...

This paper reports on RatDemo, an example program for the application of RatImage, the Research Assistance Toolbox for computerized human behavior experiments. The complete source code of this short experiment program is listed and briefly discussed. Since RatDemo combines several central...

This paper reports on RatImage, version 3.30. The extended features are presented. RatImage 3.30 is fully downward compatible to the first published version of the Research Assistance Toolbox for Computer-Aided Human Behaivor experiments, RatImage 3.10. This paper is an addendum to the manula of...

If payoffs are tickets for binary lotteries, which involve only two money prizes, then rationality requires expected value maximization in tickets. This payoff scheme was increasingly used to induce risk neutrality in experiments. The experiment presented here involved lottery choice and...

In consectutive rounds, each agent in a finite population chooses an action, is randomly matched, obtains a payoff and then observes the performance of another agent. An agent determines future behavior based on the information she receives from the present round. She chooses among the...

We report an experiment that uses the strategy method (Selten 1967) to elicit subjects' general strategy for playing any 2-person 3x3-game with integer payoffs between 0 and 99. Each two subjects' strategies play 500000 games in each of the 5 tournaments. For games with pure strategy equilibria...

We use an experiment to explore how subjects learn to play against computers which are programmed to follow one of a number of standard learning algorithms. The learning theories are (unbeknown to subjects) a best response process, fictitious play, imitation, reinforcement learning, and a trial...