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Methods for detecting structural changes, or change points, in time series data are widely used in many fields of science and engineering. This chapter sketches some basic methods for the analysis of structural changes in time series data. The exposition is confined to retrospective methods for...
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This paper introduces ideas and methods for testing for structural change in linear regression models and presents how these have been realized in an R package called strucchange. It features tests from the generalized fluctuation test framework as well as from the F test (Chow test) framework....
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We show that structural changes in stochastic volatility models induce spurious persistence. Other than in GARCH-type models, implied persistence does not tend to unity with given size of the structural change and increasing sample size.
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We show that the (Baillie and Chung, 2001) minimum distance estimates of the GARCH (1,1) model induce spurious persistence in the volatility when there are structural changes in the mean of the process.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011041785
A Modification of the CUSUM Test in the Linear Regression Model with Lagged Dependent Variables -- Heteroskedasticity-Robust Tests for Structural Change -- A Switching Regression Model with Different Change-Points for Individual Coefficients and its Application to the Energy Demand Equations for...
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We extend the well established link between structural change and estimated persistence from GARCH to stochastic volatility (SV) models. Whenever structural changes in some model parameters increase the empirical auto correlations of the squares of the underlying time series, the persistence in...
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