Xu, Jiawen; Perron, Pierre - In: International Journal of Forecasting 30 (2014) 3, pp. 449-463
We extend the random level shift (RLS) model of Lu and Perron (2010) to the volatility of asset prices, which consists of a short memory process and a random level shift component. Motivated by empirical features, (a) we specify a time-varying probability of shifts as a function of large...