Previous empirical evidence which evaluated the accuracy of management earnings or sales forecasts consistently revealed these forecasts to be on average significantly overoptimistic. However, all studies analyzed forecasts from public disclosures, which are an important signal to investors and...

I analyze the accuracy of firms' forecasts of their own future sales (and workforce numbers), which German companies provided secretly to the IAB Establishment Panel. Previous empirical evidence, using forecasts from public disclosures, revealed that managers' earnings or sales forecasts on...