This paper develops an augmented Artificial Neural Network forecast-simulation procedure for estimating both the current fundamental price of a financial asset and the state-dependent distribution (including volatilities) from which future returns will be fundamentally drawn. The results provide...

This paper develops an augmented Artificial Neural Network forecast-simulation procedure for estimating both the current fundamental price of a financial asset and the state-dependent distribution (including volatilities) from which future returns will be fundamentally drawn. The results provide...

Our strategy in this chapter is as follows: (a) use financial market data to estimate time-series models for dividend growth and discount rates, (b) use these models to simulate dividend growth and discount rate paths for a variety of possible economies that do not contain bubbles, (c) calculate...