Relying on conditional entropy and on the notion of information transfer, we investigate price relationships in the most important commodity futures market: the American crude oil market. We first show that the information shared by futures contracts with different delivery dates increases...

In order to enhance the understanding of the term structure of commodity prices, this article examines the temporal integration of the American crude oil futures market. The study relies on a database including futures prices for very long maturities (as far as seven years) and compares their...

In order to enhance the understanding of the term structure of commodity prices, this article examines the temporal integration of the American crude oil futures market. The study relies on a database including futures prices for very long maturities (as far as seven years) and compares their...

This article emphasises that the information provided by term structures of commodity prices has an influence on the real option value and on the investment decision. We exhibit first of all the analysis framework: the evaluation of an oil field. We suppose that a single source of uncertainty -...

A Kalman filter can be used for the estimation of a model’s parameters, when the model relies on non observable data. In finance, this kind of problem arises for example with term structure models of interest rates, term structure models of commodity prices, and with the market portfolio in...