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Historically, inflation is negatively correlated with stock returns, leading investors to fear inflation. We document …
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We provide evidence on the effect of the slope of the yield curve on economic activity through bank lending. Using detailed data on banks' lending activities coupled with term premium shocks identified using high-frequency event study or instrumental variables, we show that a steeper yield curve...
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Die umfangreiche empirische Literatur zur Gültigkeit der Erwartungstheorie der Zinsstruktur in den USA hat einen "U … werden in Kapitel 2 unterschiedliche Theorien der Zinsstruktur dargestellt und die ökonometrisch-methodischen Testansätze der … diskutiert und mittels eines multivariaten ARCH-Ansatzes zeitvariable Risikoprämien in der deutschen Zinsstruktur nachgewiesen …
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inflation. Dividend strip returns are predictable, and the predictive power decreases with maturity as a result of predictable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013193433
Sveriges Riksbank's bond purchases raised inflation and short-rate expectations, lowered nominal and real term premia and … inflation risk premia, and increased nominal bond safety premia, suggestive of signaling, portfolio rebalance, and safe asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014517711
cyclical movements in Treasury bond premia. Downward nominal rigidities create state-dependence in output and inflation … dynamics: a higher level of inflation makes prices more flexible, leading output and inflation to be more volatile, and bonds … to become more risky. The model matches well the relation between the level of inflation and a number of salient macro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505834