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funds futures data. The uncertainty is highest when it signals a loosening cycle. The uncertainty raises the risk premium in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011576374
We formalize the idea that the financial sector can be a source of non-fundamental risk. Households' desire to hedge … against price volatility can generate price volatility in equilibrium, even absent fundamental risk. Fearing that asset prices … may fall, risk-averse households demand safe assets from leveraged intermediaries, whose issuance of safe assets exposes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798791
reformulation of risk reward concepts in these terms. It is shown the exponential variation replaces the mean as a reward concept …. Risk is measured by the shaves and add-ons implicit in the bid and ask prices of two price economies. An analysis of … markets reveals that these two sided risk measures significantly impact rewards in the markets for stocks, stock spreads, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967217
underlying stock (asset) is subject to discontinuous market regime type of shifts in its mean or volatility whose risk can be … risk are priced in option markets. The results of the paper clearly indicate that stock market regime shifts constitute … significant sources of risk which are priced in option markets. Ignoring these sources of risks will lead to significant option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130931
dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994544
dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756113
Financialization of commodity markets has been a broadly discussed topic in recent years. However, its implications for commodity investors have not yet been fully explored. This paper concentrates on the macroeconomic determinants of commodity returns in financialized and non-financialized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034279
beyond the equity option market. In particular, we find volatility noise to constitute a priced risk factor in returns of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926537
Market clichés assert that markets take escalators up and elevators down. The observation suggests differentiating models for up and down moves. Non-diffusive models allow for this and we model the move as the difference of two independent mean reverting increasing processes driven by gamma...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959879
Dynamics of credit markets impact almost all participants in financial markets. Yet, despite rapidly growing international credit markets, we know little about the dynamics of global credit markets, as most studies focus on the US. Here, I propose a new distance-to-default model, empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848955