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We propose a new methodology for structural estimation of dynamic discrete choice models. We combine the Dynamic Programming (DP) solution algorithm with the Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm into a single algorithm that solves the DP problem and estimates the parameters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940732
This paper brings empirical evidence that the positive effect of exposure to advertising on consumers' tendency to purchase a product is due to the informative nature of ads and to consumers' risk-aversion. We show that the findings of previous studies that advertising intensity is an element in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014029851
How much do informational constraints impact economic outcomes? This paper applies a computational modeling strategy to inventory purchasing decisions. Known as the “newsvendor problem”, statistics theory has found optimal heuristics for firm behavior in conditions of unpredictable consumer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014040637
. It shows that greater uncertainty about climate cost (for given unconditional expected costs) then delays the retrofit … infrastructure when uncertainty is greater. These decisions are efficient given that energy and carbon prices facing the decision … maker are (globally) correct, but would be inefficient when they are lower, as typical in practice. Greater uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743385
circulation model. It also features Epstein-Zin utility and uncertainty about climate sensitivity that resolves after some time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010388571
changes in the interest rate on macroeconomic investment under the scenarios of certainty and uncertainty. We capture the … macroeconomic investment in times of low or even zero interest rates and high uncertainty. Only if the central bank implements …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994756
the scenarios of both certainty and uncertainty. We capture the direct interest rate-hysteresis on the investments and the … of a central bank’s interest rate policy, e.g. in times of low or even zero interest rates and high uncertainty, in terms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012151228
the scenarios of both certainty and uncertainty. We capture the direct interest rate-hysteresis on the investments and the … of a central bank's interest rate policy, e.g. in times of low or even zero interest rates and high uncertainty, in terms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012099522
the scenarios of both certainty and uncertainty. We capture the direct interest rate-hysteresis on the investments and the … of a central bank's interest rate policy, e.g. in times of low or even zero interest rates and high uncertainty, in terms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031139
A formula is derived for the social cost of carbon (SCC) that takes account of intragenerational income inequality and its evolution with economic growth. The social discount rate (SDR) should be adjusted to account for intragenerational and intergenerational inequality aversion and for risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013206181