The problem of weak identification has recently attracted attention in the analysis of structural macroeconomic models. Using robust methods can result in large confidence sets making inference difficult. We overcome this problem in the analysis of a forward-looking Taylor rule by seeking...

We explore empirically the theoretical prediction that optimism or pessimism have aggregate effects, in the context of monetary policy. First, we quantify the tone conveyed by FOMC policymakers in their statements using computational linguistics. Second, we identify sentiment as the...

Does the effect of monetary policy depend on the macroeconomic information released by the central bank? Because differences between central bank's and private agents' information sets affect private agents' interpretation of policy decisions, this paper aims to investigate whether the...