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We study the relationship between conditional quantiles of returns and the long-, medium- and short-term volatility in … the volatility time series provides us with new insights into the pricing of risk and increases the accuracy of our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011722181
We investigate the pricing of volatility risks in currency markets. First, we show that pricing ability of volatility … risk is concentrated in some of its components. Diffusive volatility dominates jump volatility in pricing carry trade … returns, while jump volatility is important in jointly explaining carry trade and momentum returns. Both short-run and long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012552
allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a … provide a statistical approach to estimate the volatility of these factors. The efficacy of this approach relative to the use … of models based on squared returns is demonstrated for forecasts of the market volatility and a portfolio allocation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860248
) The Volatility Puzzle. We offer resolutions of those objections within the rational finance. We do not claim that those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842392
We propose a nonparametric method to study which characteristics provide incremental information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888693
realized covariance matrices through a GARCH-type structure. We compare the forecasting performance of several such models in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014434629
forecasting volatility. Key papers in this area include Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), Corsi (2004), Andersen …Many recent modelling advances in finance topics ranging from the pricing of volatility-based derivative products to … number of recent papers have addressed volatility predictability, some from the perspective of the usefulness of jumps in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009771770
This paper proposes a predictive approach to estimate macroeconomic tail risk dynamics over the long run (1876-2015). Our approach circumvents the scarcity of large macroeconomic crises by using observable predictive variables in a large international panel. This method does not require to use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012233219
This paper studies the information content of the S&P 500 and VIX markets on the volatility of the S&P 500 returns. We … risk-neutral distributions as well as the term structure of volatility smiles and of variance risk premia. We find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410916
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013262866