There is a well-established literature on separately testing the prediction power of different betting market settings. This paper provides an inter-market comparison of the forecasting accuracy between bookmakers and a major betting exchange. Employing a dataset covering all football matches...

We show that a combined bet at the bookmaker and at the bet exchange market yields a guaranteed positive return in 19.2% of the matches in the top-five European soccer leagues. Moreover, we find that all considered bookmakers frequently offered arbitrage positions, and that they experienced, on...

In this paper, we empirically investigate how performance expectations affect top manager replacements. Specifically, we approximate unobservable performance expectations based on professional bookmaker betting odds on matches of the highest German soccer league, the Bundesliga, to capture the...

In 2002 the leading European football clubs reacted to the increasing player salaries by signing a voluntary agreement to limit player salaries to 70% of revenues. We analyse under which conditions a voluntary salary cap agreement is self-enforcing. Based on a simple model of a league with two...

Torgler and Schmidt (2007) have recently found a positive impact of pay on player performance in German soccer, measured by the number of goals and assists scored within a season. This note shows that their result is spurious as both a player's wage and goal/assist scoring are driven by...