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Many recent papers have investigated the role played by volatility in determining the cross-section of currency returns …. This paper employs two time-varying factor models: a threshold model and a Markov-switching model to price the excess … returns from the currency carry trade. We show that the importance of volatility depends on whether the currency markets are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591966
Firms in emerging markets are exposed to severe financial frictions and credit constraints, that are exacerbated by the sudden stop of capital inflows. Can monetary policy offset this external credit squeeze? We show that although this may be the case during moderate contractions (or in partial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071372
futures markets, and the exporter to face production shock, domestic factor costs and a random price. Applying the mean …-variance expected utility, we find that a rise in exchange rate volatility can reduce both supply and demand for commodities and … in their profit in domestic currency. It illustrates how the world prices and foreign futures prices of commodities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131263
Recent studies have shown that disaster risk can generate asset return moments similar to those observed in the U … and government bill rates nor the high degree of equity return correlation found in the data. Moreover, the independence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352400
exchange return and its volatility. Particularly, an increase in the return at time t results in an increase in volatility at … floating exchange rate system in February 2001. In this paper, an asymmetric stochastic volatility model of the foreign … time t + 1. However, the effect is asymmetric: a decrease in the exchange rate return at time t causes a relatively less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014069852
divergences in the tail returns from around the world. To do so, it applies extreme value theory to equity indices representing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049088
This paper attempts to bring the tradition of estimating policy reaction functions from monetary policy literature to capital controls policy literature. Using a novel, weekly dataset on capital controls policy actions in 21 emerging economies over the period 1 January 2001 – 31 December 2015,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947417
This paper attempts to borrow the tradition of estimating policy reaction functions in monetary policy literature and apply it to capital controls policy literature. Using a novel weekly dataset on capital controls policy actions in 21 emerging economies over the period 1 January 2001 to 31...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943804
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012803308
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014234202