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In this paper we provide evidence that the effects of the different waves of asset purchase programmes implemented by the ECB from 2009 onwards have spilled over into asset price volatility developments of a group of six Central and Eastern European economies belonging to the EU but not to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915141
We present evidence of significant bias in event studies that investigate the effect of U.S. monetary policy on U.S. stock prices. To overcome this bias, we propose a new identification method based on the "Impossible Trinity" theory which argues that an economy with a fixed exchange rate and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075805
This paper attempts to identify how monetary policy shocks affect stock prices by using Mundell and Fleming's theory of the "Impossible Trinity". According to this theory, it is impossible to simultaneously have a fixed exchange rate, free capital movement (an absence of capital controls), and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009681235
We use a predictable change in the intraday volatility of index futures to identify the effect of stock returns on monetary policy. This identification approach relies on a weaker set of assumptions than required under identification through heteroskedasticity based on lower frequency data. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898434
We develop an econometric methodology for the study of the yield curve and its interactions with measures of non-standard monetary policy during possibly turbulent times. The yield curve is modeled by the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model while the monetary policy measurements are modeled as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362975
Using an event study method, we examine how stock markets respond to the policies of the European Central Bank during 1999-2015. We use market prices of futures (government bonds) to identify surprises in (un)conventional monetary policy. Our results suggest that especially unconventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014193
Central banks unexpectedly tightening policy rates often observe the exchange value of their currency depreciate, rather than appreciate as predicted by standard models. We document this for Fed and ECB policy days using event studies and ask whether an information effect, where the public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012285739
Central banks unexpectedly tightening policy rates often observe the exchange value of their currency depreciate, rather than appreciate as predicted by standard models. We document this for Fed and ECB policy days using eventstudies and ask whether an information effect, where the public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287994
This paper studies the impact of different types and styles of Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) communication on asset prices (stock prices, gilt yields and interest rate futures) from 1999-2023. We extend MPC communication to include MPC speeches and find MPC speeches to be an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314314
This paper studies the impact of different types and styles of Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) communication on asset prices (stock prices, gilt yields and interest rate futures) from 1999-2023. We extend MPC communication to include MPC speeches and find MPC speeches to be an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349401