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This paper analyzes the recently documented instability of money demand in the euro area in the framework of a Markov switching trend model. First, we consider a standard flexible price model with stable money demand, rational expectations, and an exogenous income-money ratio which follows a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570250
Empirical analyses of Cagan's money demand schedule for hyper-inflation have largely ignored the explosive nature of hyper-inflationary data. It is argued that this contributes to an (i) inability to model the data to the end of the hyper-inflation, and to (ii) discrepancies between 'estimated'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132144
Empirical analyses of Cagan's money demand schedule for hyper-inflation have largely ignored the explosive nature of hyper-inflationary data. It is argued that this contributes to an (i) inability to model the data to the end of the hyper-inflation, and to (ii) discrepancies between "estimated"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132198
, covering 2001Q1–2019Q4. The adaptive learning model obtains better within-sample fit for all vintages used for estimation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014258211
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The article argues that adaptive expectations play a role in deterrence and punishment by suggesting that offenders who have experienced the punishment before may expect a hight level of punishment if caught again. Therefore, punishing repeat offenders more severely than first-time offenders can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348027
Recent empirical studies have found evidence of unstable long run money demand functions if recent data are used. If the link between money balances and the macroeconomy is fragile, the rationale of monetary aggregates in the ECB strategy has to be doubted. In contrast we present a "stable''...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518878