Makroökonometrische Modelle sind in Deutschland aus der kurzfristigen Wirtschaftsprognose und der Prozeßanalyse nicht mehr wegzudenken. Die Entwicklung dahin war zwar auch von Verlangsamungen und Unterbrechungen begleitet - die generelle Disreputation der Makroökonomie in den siebziger...

The analysis of cyclical macroeconomic phenomena is an important field of econometric research. In the recent past, research interests have de-emphasized quantitative forecasting exercises and have addressed the qualitative diagnosis of the relative stance of the economy regarding "upswing",...

Econometric models are a widely used and powerful tool in macroeconomic analysis and forecasting. Admittedly, their acceptance by the academic community had some hard times during the seventies and eighties. The general decline in the reputation of macroeconomics, the Lucas and the Sims...