In this study, we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of several modern Value-at- Risk (VaR) estimators derived from extreme value theory (EVT). Specifically, in a multi-asset study covering 30 years of stock, bond, commodity and currency market data, we analyse the accuracy of the...

Den Autoren ist es dabei gelungen, die theoretischen Grundlagen der europäischen Geldpolitik mit den praktischen Erfahrungen zu verknüpfen. Auch für Finanzexperten in Banken, Unternehmen und Verbänden sowie in der Wissenschaft und in der Poltitik ist das Lehrbuch konzipierte und bereits in...

The paper derives the monetary policy reaction function implied by money growth targeting. It consists of an interest rate response to deviations of the inflation rate from target, to the change in the output gap, to money demand shocks and to the lagged interest rate. We show that this type of...

The paper analyses the performance of simple interest rate rules which feature a response to noisy observations of inflation, output and money growth. The analysis is based on a small empirical model of the hybrid New Keynesian type which has been estimated on euro area data by Stracca (2007)....