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The magnitude of error due to different vital processes in population forecasts

Alho, Juha M. - In: International journal of forecasting 8 (1992) 3, pp. 301-314

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001330608

Estimating the strength of expert judgement : the case of US mortality forecasts

Alho, Juha M. - In: Journal of forecasting 11 (1992) 2, pp. 157-167

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001136593

A population forecast as a database : implementing the stochastic propagation of error

Alho, Juha M. - In: Journal of official statistics : JOS ; an international … 7 (1991) 3, pp. 295-310

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001113067

Effect of aggregation on the estimation of trend in mortality

Alho, Juha M. - In: Mathematical population studies : an international … 3 (1991) 1, pp. 53-67

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001138857

Assessing components of uncertainty in demographic forecasts with an application to fiscal sustainability

Alho, Juha M.; Lassila, Jukka - In: Journal of forecasting 42 (2023) 7, pp. 1560-1568

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014432721

Aggregate mortality risk and the insurance value of annuities

Alho, Juha M. (contributor); Määttänen, Niku (contributor) - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003282875

Annuity-based assessment of uncertainty in mortality

Alho, Juha M. - In: Revue économique : revue bimestrielle 59 (2008) 5, pp. 927-940

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003755076

Forecasting demographic forecasts

Alho, Juha M. - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 4, pp. 1128-1135

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517765

Response to updated mortality forecasts in life cycle saving and labor supply

Määttänen, Niku; Alho, Juha M. - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 4, pp. 1120-1127

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517766

The fade away of an initial bias in longitudinal surveys

Alho, Juha M.; Müller, Gerrit; Pflieger, Verena; … - 2017

We propose a new view of initial nonresponse bias in longitudinal surveys. Under certain conditions, an initial bias may "fade-away" over consecutive waves. This effect is discussed in a Markovian framework. A general contraction theorem for time inhomogeneous Markov chains is presented. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714202