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We test whether life-contingent annuity prices promptly and fully adjust to changes in interest rates; a standard assumption made implicitly or explicitly in a growing annuity literature. Using a unique database consisting of over 3 million U.S. annuity quotes, we find that prices do not move as...
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We show that, since the inception of energy futures markets, prices have on average exhibited backwardation. Normal backwardation has also been the norm, but, because of the low power of the standard tests, most researchers have concluded that the unbiased expectations model cannot be rejected....
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