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Population aging and pension reform will have profound effects on international capital markets. First, demographic change alters the time path of aggregate savings within each country. Second, this process may be amplified when a pension reform shifts old-age provision towards more pre-funding....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063605
The currently observed demographic change consists of two independent developments that differ in structure and persistence: (1) A slow, monotonic and (presumably) permanent ageing effect caused by an increasing life expectancy; (2) a more rapidly changing, non-monotonic and less permanent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249854
The currently observed demographic change consists of two independent develop-ments that differ in structure and persistence: (1) A slow, monotonic and (presum-ably) permanent ageing effect caused by an increasing life expectancy; (2) a morerapidly changing, non-monotonic and less permanent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012313783
G-Cubed is a multi-country, multi-sector, intertemporal general equilibrium model that has been used to study a variety of policies in the areas of environmental regulation, tax reform, monetary and fiscal policy, and international trade. It is designed to bridge the gaps between three areas of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025276
When the challenges of population aging are being debated, the uncertain future of pension systems is a topic of high priority and large controversy. The aim of this chapter is not to provide a “consensus view” on social security and public insurance in aging populations but to put structure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981855
Trade in goods that are not perfect substitutes can considerably change the predictions of standard neoclassical models about the effects of asymmetric demographic developments. This paper considers a relative decrease in the population size of one country, when countries specialize in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014172654
This paper explores the international spillover effects of ageing through capital markets when countries have different pension systems. We use a two-country two-period overlapping-generations model, where the two countries only differ in their pension schemes. Two forms of population ageing are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014056835
This study examines the potential impact of a hypothetical but plausible migration scenario on Austria’s economy and labour market, inspired by Austria’s experience in 2015. Using the agent-based macroeconomic model developed by Poledna et al. (2023), the study explores the detailed labour...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355244
From 1850 to 2000, in Western European countries life expectancy rose from 30–40 to 80 years and the average number of children per woman fell from 4 to 5 children to slightly more than one. To gauge the economic consequences of these demographic trends, we implement an overlapping generations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865181
This paper focuses on the empirically observed relationship between demographic change and inflation and explores the theoretical nature of the puzzling link between the two. It puts the existent disparate empirical findings in the literature into perspective by formalizing an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265487