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In response to debt crises, policy makers often feature Collective Action Clauses (CACs) in sovereign bonds among the pillars of international financial architecture. However, the content of official pronouncements about CACs suggests that CACs are more like doorknobs: a process tool with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860618
The paper provides a critical review of empirical studies on IMF induced moral hazard. Taken together, there is considerable evidence that the insurance provided by the Fund leads to moral hazard with investors in bond markets, while moral hazard in equity markets has so far not been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014073285
The IMF creates "moral hazard," when it provides bailouts to countries that face a BOP crisis. Two central questions are posed: is moral hazard observable in the data; and, if it is, what is its magnitude? We search for evidence that the unprecedented bailouts of the last decade have changed the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074427
Three channels through which the IMF rescue package may affect international leading can be distinguished: debtor-side moral hazard, creditor-side moral hazard, and debtor and creditor-side moral hazard. We show that if the rescue package fully benefits the debtor, no credit contract between him...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014118888
This paper empirically investigates the extent of investor moral hazard associated with IMF bailouts by analyzing the responses of sovereign bond spreads to the changes in the perceived probability of IMF bailouts of countries undergoing financial crisis. We do not find strong evidence that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014067802
This paper explores the drivers of sovereign defaults in 100 countries over the period 1996-2012. We build a new data set of sovereign defaults and find that default events on local and foreign currency bonds are equally likely. However, governments default under different economic and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938192
This paper explores the welfare effects of the seniority requirement of the international lender of the last resort (ILLR). An ILLR with seniority decreases the interest burden of the country because ILLR accepts a lower interest rate due to the higher chance of getting repaid. On the other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937128
The financial crisis that started in 2008 is spreading from the private to the public sector. The migration from private to public balance sheets, and vice versa, is a familiar story in the history of international finance. The most prominent channel linking sovereign and private sector balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131993
• The IMF staff's 2013 proposal to reprofile (i.e., stretch out for a short period without haircutting principal or interest) the maturing debt of a country that has lost market access is a sensible policy in cases where the IMF is uncertain whether the country's debt stock is sustainable.•...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043303
This paper analyses the history and effectiveness of the two major mechanisms of resolution of balance of payments crisis. It argues that IMF lending has met its counter-cyclical objectives through history and has been improving in terms of providing adequate lending facilities as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465432