Output effects of currency crises are often estimated to be negative and persistent. A new banking crisis database allows us to construct pure currency collapses that are not associated with banking crises. The estimates show that countries facing a pure currency crisis have fully recovery of...

Recent empirical literature shows that Internet search activity is closely associated with volatility prediction in financial and commodity markets. In this study, we search for a benchmark model with available market-based predictors to evaluate the net contribution of the Internet search...