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We develop an incomplete markets framework to synthesize domestic and foreign stochastic discount factors (SDFs) that are consistent with limited international risk sharing. The fundamental departure in our paper is that exchange rate growth need not equal the ratio of SDFs, and we develop a...
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This paper proposes a measure of exchange rate disconnect. Working in a two-currency international economy, our theory implies that the disconnect is the ratio of two martingales. Weanalyze empirically our measure of disconnect using 406 pairs of economies to reveal a geography of disconnect....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242011
We consider an incomplete markets international economy in discrete-time. The first result is an impossibility theorem showing that if cross-currency no-arbitrage is to hold, the exchange rate cannot be a stationary process in levels. The second result is a system of stochastic discount factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897987
Can the exchange rate be stationary in levels? We answer this question in the negative by proving an impossibility theorem, built upon the absence of arbitrage in international economies. We establish the sufficient conditions for the exchange rate to not be a stationary process in levels, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014359145
Faced with the problem of pricing complex contingent claims, investors seek to make their valuations robust to model uncertainty. We construct a notion of a modeluncertainty-induced utility function and show that model uncertainty increases investors' effective risk aversion. Using this utility...
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