In this paper we give a resume of the correlation concept that underlies the models for credit risk measurement, for the rating of structured products, for the pricing of (tranches of) structured products, and for Basel II capital charges. We discuss how securitization has changed the risk...

A Markov chain with an expanding non-uniform grid matching risk neutral marginal distributions is constructed. Conditional distributions of the chain are in the variance gamma class with prespecified skewness and excess kurtosis. Time change and space scale volatilities are calibrated from...

To evaluate the aggregate risk in a financial or insurance portfolio, a risk analyst has to calculate the distribution function of a sum of random variables. As the individual risk factors are often positively dependent, the classical convolution technique will not be sufficient. On the other...

The relationship between the risk-neutral measure Q and the actual or real-world measure P, and the corresponding credit risk premium, are investigated in this paper. Quantifying and understanding the long-term average risk premium is important for a variety of financial applications and...

Contingent Convertibles ("CoCos") are contingent capital instruments which convert into shares, or have a principal write down, if a trigger event takes place. CoCos exhibit the undesirable so-called "death-spiral effect": by actively hedging the equity risk, investors can (unintentionally)...

In this paper we obtain some formulas for pricing contingent convertibles subject to what we call extension risk, i.e., the possibility that bond issuer does not buy back the bond at pre specified call dates and then new coupons rate are established until bond maturity. We follow a structural...

Asset backed securities (ABSs) are structured finance products backed by pools of assets and are created through a securitisation process. The risks in asset backed securities, such as, credit risk, prepayment risk, market risks, operational risk, and legal risks, are directly connected with the...