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Analysing convergence in Europe using a non-linear single factor model
Fritsche, Ulrich; Kuzin, Vladimir - 2008
We investigate convergence in European price level, unit labor cost, income, and productivity data over the period of … extremely flexible on order to model a large number of transition paths to convergence. We find regional clusters in consumer … indicate the existence of three convergence clubs without strong regional linkages; Italy and Germany are not converging to any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426359
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The impact of food price shock on heterogenous credit constrained firms
Ciaian, Pavel; Kancs, D'Artis - 2008
This paper analyses how rising agricultural prices affect heterogenous farm production and access to inputs under credit market imperfections in the CEE transition countries. Using the FADN farm level panel data, which contains 37416 observations for 2004 and 2005, we estimate a farm credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523447
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Forecasting seasonally cointegrated systems: supply response in Austrian agriculture
Jumah, Adusei - 1995
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000919493
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Returns in Commodities Futures Markets and Financial Speculation : A Multivariate GARCH Approach
Manera, Matteo - 2013
This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using CCC and DCC multivariate GARCH models, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091156
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Forecasting seasonally cointegrated systems : supply response in Austrian agriculture
Jumah, Adusei; Kunst, Robert M. - 1995
This paper examines the relevance of incorporating seasonality in agricultural supply models. Former studies have eliminated the problem of seasonality by using seasonally adjusted data. Recent developments in cointegration techniques allow the comprehensive modelling of error-correcting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009693905
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Price dynamics in Tanzanian maize markets : insights from a semiparametric cointegration model
Ihle, Rico; Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan von - 2010
Maize is a major staple food in Sub-Saharan Africa. Monthly maize prices in Tanzania are analyzed since the country is an important maize producer and exporter in East Africa. We analyze price transmission between the five most important urban regions of Tanzania between 2000 and 2008 which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010342910
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Returns in commodities futures markets and financial speculation : a multivariate GARCH approach
Manera, Matteo; Nicolini, Marcella; Vignati, Ilaria - 2012
This paper analyses futures prices for four energy commodities (light sweet crude oil, heating oil, gasoline and natural gas) and five agricultural commodities (corn, oats, soybean oil, soybeans and wheat), over the period 1986-2010. Using CCC and DCC multivariate GARCH models, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535531
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Understanding dynamic conditional correlations between commodities futures markets
Behmiri, Niaz Bashiri; Manera, Matteo; Nicolini, Marcella - 2016
We estimate dynamic conditional correlations between 10 commodities futures returns in energy, metals and agriculture markets over the period 1998-2014 with a DCC-GARCH model. We look at the factors influencing those correlations, adopting a pooled mean group (PMG) estimator. Macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451631
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El NiñO and World Primary Commodity Prices : Warm Water or Hot Air?
Brunner, Allan D. - 2006
This paper examines the historical effects of the El Nintilde;o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle on world prices and economic activity. The analysis indicates that ENSO has economically-important and statistically-significant effects on world real commodity prices. A one-standard-deviation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782516
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Testing Rockets and Feathers Patterns with a Multivariate Quantile Approach : An Application to the Soybean Complex
Yang, Yao; Karali, Berna - 2023
Output markets usually respond to input price changes asymmetrically, with prices rising faster than they fall, known as the rockets and feathers pattern. We expand the vector autoregressive quantile (VARQ) model by incorporating quantile cointegrating relationships to investigate such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014259365