The article provides estimates of short-run and medium-run exchange rate pass-through into domestic prices in Russia during the period of 2000–2012 using vector error correction model. Exchange rate pass-through asymmetry estimates, its assessments on different sub-periods and exchange rate...

The beginning of this year was characterized by a slow increase in consumer prices, stability in the forex market, and continuing monetary policy easing. However, the situation has changed dramatically as a result of the impact on the economy of two major interconnected shocks: a slowdown in the...

The Bank of Russia medium-run monetary policy course is to remain unchanged: the regulator will continue its efforts to bring the inflation rate down to 4% in 2017. This follows from the draft of the Guidelines for the Single State Monetary policy in 2016 and for 2017 and 2018. For this goal to...

In September, the Central Bank of Russia made a decision to cut the key rate by 0.5 p.p. to 10%. The intention of the Central Bank of Russia to stick to a moderately tough monetary policy is justified by the need to consolidate the trend towards sustained reduction of the rate of inflation

Russia's positive balance of trade increased in Q1 2018 reflecting an increase of exports value amid slower growth of imports deliveries. Private capital outflow was observed triggered by the growth of foreign assets of Russian enterprises amid negative geopolitical expectations

The primary purpose of this paper is to test the hypothesis of capital mobility reduction in the wake of the global financial crisis of 2008-2009. Through the constructed models we tested hypotheses about the long- and short-term mobility of global capital by estimating the correlation between...

Following a meeting on July 22, the Bank of Russia cut the key rate by 150 b.p. at a time to 8% per annum, while most analysts expected the rate reduction by 50 b.p. The decision was motivated by the slowdown in current inflation, lower inflation expectations of households and businesses, as...

Following its board meeting on October 28, the Bank of Russia left the key rate unchanged at 7.5% per annum, which is in line with the analyst consensus forecast and financial market expectations. This decision was the result of a reversal in the inflationary trends, an increase in the...

The Bank of Russia's decision to reduce the key rate by 0.50 pp to 6.5% was caused by an inflation slowdown to 3.8% in October 2019 relative to October 2018, with a high probability of its continuing downward movement. In this connection, the Bank of Russia has revised its inflation projections...