Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate the information content of the variables that can help detecting external and internal imbalances in an early stage. The starting point is the Scoreboard, where nine indicators are chosen in order to increase macroeconomic surveillance of...

This article re-examines the persistence in natural gas consumption using an alternative methodology. We compare the results of traditional panel unit root tests with those provided by Bahmani-Oskooee et al., which allow for both sharp and smooth breaks. Our analysis uses data for the G7...

In this study we apply the Elliott's Wave theory to the index S&P 500 for a period of three years, starting from the October 2008 and until December 31, 2011. An analytical forecast for the first half of 2012 has been carried out. Our principle empirical findings underline that the evolution of...

Lo scopo di questo lavoro è valutare empiricamente la relazione tra dimensione pubblica e crescita economica. Utilizzando metodologie di serie temporali applicate a dati annuali per l'Italia, vengono analizzati gli effetti della spesa pubblica, della disoccupazione e delle riforme fiscali...

The relationship between public expenditure and aggregate income has long been debated in economic literature. According to Wagner, expenditure is an endogenous factor or an outcome. On the other hand, Keynes considered public expenditure as an exogenous factor to be used as a policy instrument...

This paper aims to assess the relationship among fiscal variables (government revenue and expenditure) in Sub-Saharan African countries. Using yearly data for the period between 1980 and 2011 in fifteen ECOWAS countries, a weak long-run relationship between government expenditure and revenue...

“Reaganomics” is a popular term used to refer to the economic policies of Ronald W. Reagan, the 40th U.S. President (1981-1989), which called for widespread tax cuts, decreased social spending, increased military spending, and the deregulation of domestic markets. In this paper, we analyze...

Wagner's Law is the first model of public expenditure in the history of public finance. It suggests that during the process of economic development the share of public spending in national income tends to expand (Wagner, 1883). Nevertheless, Peacock and Scott in 2000 wrote a paper entitled...