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We propose to estimate the variance of a time series of financial returns through a quantile autoregressive model (QAR) and demonstrate that the return QAR model contains all information that is commonly captured in two separate equations for the mean and variance of a GARCH-type model. In...
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This paper analyses the impact of the June 23, 2016 Brexit vote on the British and Australian currency and equity markets. The two markets are particularly interesting as they were both strongly impacted by the Brexit vote, have cross-listed stocks and non-overlapping trading hours. Whilst the...
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This paper compares various models for time series of counts which can account for discreetness, overdispersion and serial correlation. Besides observation- and parameter-driven models based upon corresponding conditional Poisson distributions, we also consider a dynamic ordered probit model as...
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