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Do financial constraints amplify or dampen the transmission of monetary policy to the real economy? To answer this question, we propose a simple empirical strategy that combines (i) firm-level employment and balance sheet data, (ii) identified monetary policy shocks and (iii) survey data on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013466140
This paper contributes to the ongoing debate about the changing dynamics in the money market rates after 2007. It aims to analyse the interest rate channel of monetary policy transmission until the federal funds target rate reached the zero lower bound. A set of different model explains both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010499797
We introduce limited information in monetary policy. Agents receive signals from the central bank revealing new information ("news") about the future evolution of the policy rate before changes in the rate actually take place. However, the signal is disturbed by noise. We employ a non-standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864556
We document a strong asymmetry in the evolution of federal funds rate expectations and map this observed asymmetry into measures of monetary policy uncertainty. We show that periods of monetary policy tightening and easing are distinctly related to downside (policy rate is higher than expected)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903823
During and after the Great Recession of 2008-09, conventional monetary policy in the United States and many other advanced economies was constrained by the effective lower bound (ELB) on nominal interest rates. Several central banks implemented large-scale asset purchase (LSAP) programs, more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873794
We analyze money financing of fiscal transfers (helicopter money) in two simple New Keynesian models: a "textbook" model in which all money is non-interest-bearing (e.g., all money is currency), and a more realistic model with interest-bearing reserves. In the textbook model with only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159954
We augment a standard New Keynesian model with a financial accelerator mechanism and show that financial frictions generate large state-dependent amplification effects. We fit the model to US data and show that, when shocks drive the model far away from the steady state, the nonlinear model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013335014
The paper employs a unique identification strategy that links survey data on household consumption expenditure to bank-level data in order to estimate the effects of bank financial distress on consumer credit and consumption expenditures. Specifically, we show that households whose banks were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238950
This paper studies monetary policy in an economy where banks make risky loans to firms and provide liquidity services in the form of deposits to households. For given bank equity, market discipline implies that banks can take more deposits when assets are safer or more profitable. Banks respond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510693
A view advanced in the aftermath of the late-2000s financial crisis is that lower than optimal interest rates lead to excessive risk taking by financial intermediaries. We evaluate this view in a quantitative dynamic model in which interest rate policy affects risk taking by changing the amount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009389254