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concerning behavior in decision trees. Following Cubitt (1996) , these principles include dynamic consistency, separability, and … subtrees as well as entire decision trees. Examples of behavior violating these principles are also reviewed, as are possible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025530
This paper focuses on information acquisition and individual decision making in ambiguous situations and presents a …, subjects can reduce or even eliminate the ambiguity and turn the decision situation into one of risk. Under the assumption that … an ambiguity averse subject should reduce ambiguity within a decision process we predicted that these subjects would …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073252
So far, "salience theory of choice under risk" has been mainly applied to situations of risk rather than to those of uncertainty. In this paper, we show that salience theory provides the prediction that Allais paradoxes should never occur in the context of uncertainty. A finding which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011919995
The alpha-maxmin model is a prominent example of preferences under Knightian uncertainty as it allows to distinguish ambiguity and ambiguity attitude. These preferences are dynamically inconsistent for nontrivial versions of α. In this paper, we derive a recursive, dynamically consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011892184
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003723213
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003692543
Optimism bias is inconsistent with the independence of decision weights and payoffs found in models of choice under … optimistically biased, we propose an alternative model of risky choice, affective decision making, where decision weights - which we … label affective or perceived risk - are endogenized. Affective decision making (ADM) is a strategic model of choice under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008778674
The random Incentive System (RIS) is a standard method to incentivize participants in economic experiments. However, recent theoretical studies point out the possibility of its failure under ambiguity. We propose a modification of RIS, named independent RIS (I-RIS), to improve its reliability....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215472
Most decisions concerning (self-)insurance and self-protection have to be taken in situations in which a) the effort exerted precedes the moment uncertainty realises, and b) the probabilities of future states of the world are not perfectly known. By integrating these two characteristics in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486991
We relate time-varying aggregate ambiguity (V-VSTOXX) to individual investor trading. We use the trading records of more than 100,000 individual investors from a large German online brokerage from March 2010 to December 2015. We find that an increase in ambiguity is associated with increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387918