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We explore the effects of macroeconomic literacy training on expectation formation in an experimental economy where participants' aggregated expectations endogenously influence macroeconomic variables. We systematically vary the information participants receive about the economy's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917914
The onset of the pandemic saw a high degree of coordination between our monetary and fiscal authorities. The Bank of Canada lowered its overnight rate to its effective lower bound and engaged in quantitative easing, governments pumped in stimulus and support programs, and the Office of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355870
The effectiveness of monetary policy depends, to a large extent, on market expectations of its future actions. In a standard New Keynesian business-cycle model with rational expectations, systematic monetary policy reduces the variance of inflation and the output gap by at least two-thirds....
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We develop an experimental production economy to study the general equilibrium and welfare effects of speculation and stabilization policies. Participants playing the role of household-investors interact in labor, output, and, in some treatments, asset markets. Without the ability to trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933915
Our study demonstrates how agents' expectations can interact dynamically with monetary and fiscal policy at the zero lower bound. We study expectation formation near the zero lower bound using a learning-to-forecast laboratory experiment under alternative policy regimes. In our experimental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969982
This paper provides original empirical evidence on the emerging practice by central banks of communicating uncertainty in their inflation projections. We compare the effects of point and density projections in a learning-to-forecast laboratory experiment where participants' aggregated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842567