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We propose an automatic model order selection procedure for k-factor GARMA processes. The procedure is based on sequential tests of the maximum of the periodogram and semiparametric estimators of the model parameters. As a byproduct, we introduce a generalized version of Walker's large sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010419646
The focus of the volatility literature on forecasting and the predominance of the conceptually simpler HAR model over long memory stochastic volatility models has led to the fact that the actual degree of memory estimates has rarely been considered. Estimates in the literature range roughly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715842
It is well known that intraday volatilities and trading volumes exhibit strong seasonal features. These seasonalities are usually modeled using dummy variables or deterministic functions. Here, we propose a test for seasonal long memory with a known frequency. Using this test, we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011673153
We propose a simple test on structural change in long-range dependent time series. It is based on the idea that the test statistic of the standard CUSUM test retains its asymptotic distribution if it is applied to fractionally differenced data. We prove that our approach is asymptotically valid...
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This paper derives the memory of the product series xtyt, where xt and yt are stationary long memory time series of orders dx and dy, respectively. Special attention is paid to the case of squared series and products of series driven by a common stochastic factor. It is found that the memory of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430154
The persistence of inflation rates is of major importance to central banks due to the fact that it determines the costs of monetary policy according to the Phillips curve. This article is motivated by newly available econometric methods which allow for a consistent estimation of the persistence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011581517