Using a unique and comprehensive dataset of loan-level home equity lines of credit serviced by large US national banks, we confirm that default risk of home equity lines of credit increases at end of draw. More importantly, we quantify the increase in default risk with the size of positive...

We estimate a Pareto distribution for loan losses, as an alternative to the commonly used Vasicek distribution, using simulated data. A key assumption in the construction of Vasicek distribution is that firm-level risk is idiosyncratic. It also assumes that firm exposure to systemic risk is...

The latest financial crisis has exposed substantial weaknesses in the bank risk models used by national regulators as well as the Basel Accords. The study is aimed at presenting the evolution and critique of risk measures and risk models in banking, with a special focus on the dynamically...

This paper documents the existence of primary dealers’ losses in Treasury bond markets and investigates how these losses a¤ect dealers’ market value. Using a novel data set that tracks more than 2,350 primary-to-secondary transactions, we find that bond losses for primary dealers are...

This article responds to calls in the literature for a major shift in approaches to explaining systemic risk. It applies insights from multiple disciplines, but departs from the monistic positivist research orientations of many previous contributions by taking a carefully argued pragmatic...