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We address bond, equity, gold as well as oil markets, and examine their lagged interactions including market volatility and consumer prices. Apart from considering returns, we also address the cyclic component of price levels. Study of the monthly lag structure during January 1950 to June 2015...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964555
This article employs cointegration and error-correction modelling to test the causal relationship between real income, exports and human capital stock using data for China over the period 1960 to 1999. We find that real exports, human capital and real income are cointegrated when real exports is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105090
This paper provides evidence on the random walk hypothesis in G7 stock price indices using unit root tests which allow for one and two structural breaks in the trend. Of the seven countries we find, at best, evidence of mean reversion in the stock price index of Japan. Thus, overall, our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105330
This letter extends research reported in Narayan and Smyth (2005) by employing multiple trend break unit root tests to examine the random walk hypothesis for 15 European stock market indices. The results provide strong support for the view that stock prices are characterized by a random walk
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105335
In this paper, we propose a new augmented Dickey-Fuller-type test for unit roots which accounts for two structural breaks. We consider two different specifications: (a) two breaks in the level of a trending data series and (b) two breaks in the level and slope of a trending data series. The...
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