Showing 1 - 10 of 21
The predictions of the S&P 500 returns made in 2007 have been tested and the underlying models amended. The period between 2003 and 2008 should be described by the dependence of the S&P 500 stock market index on real GDP because the population pyramid was highly inaccurate. The 2008 trough and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146028
Historical share prices of selected S&P 500 companies have been accurately approximated by linear functions of the difference between core CPI and subsets of the CPI in the United States. The pricing model describes the evolution of share price along a predetermined trajectory. The selected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158656
Labor productivity in Turkey, Spain, Belgium, Austria, Switzerland, and New Zealand has been analyzed and modeled. These counties extend the previously analyzed set of the US, UK, Japan, France, Italy, and Canada. Modelling is based on the link between the rate of labor participation and real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159944
Using an analog of the boundary element method in engineering and science, we analyze and model unemployment rate in Austria, Italy, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United States as a function of inflation and the change in labor force. Originally, the model linking unemployment to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012718315
We analyze and develop a quantitative model describing the evolution of personal income distribution (PID) for males and females in the U.S. between 1930 and 2014. The overall microeconomic model, which we introduced ten years ago, accurately predicts the change in mean income as a function of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014051
The evolution of Gini coefficient for personal incomes in the USA between 1947 and 2005 is analyzed and modeled. There are several versions of personal income distribution (PID) provided by the US Census Bureau (US CB) for this period with various levels of resolution. Effectively, these PIDs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014051565
Past and future evolution of inflation, (t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Japan is modeled. Both variables are represented as linear functions of the change rate of labor force level. These models provide an accurate description for disinflation in the 1990s and deflationary period in the 2000s....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223116
Potential links between inflation, (t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Germany have been examined. There exists a consistent (conventional) Phillips curve despite some changes in monetary policy. This Phillips curve is characterized by a negative relation between inflation and unemployment with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223809
We consider definitions and measuring procedures of personal income used by three U.S. agencies as well as the evolution of household size distribution and reveal major quantitative inconsistencies in the reported figures of personal and household inequality. The problem with the inequality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040476
Three years ago we found a statistically reliable link between ConocoPhillips' (NYSE: COP) stock price and the difference between the core and headline CPI in the United States. In this article, the original relationship is revisited with new data available since 2009. The agreement between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107466