The uncovered interest rate parity puzzle questions the economic relation existing between short term interest rate differentials and exchange rates. One would indeed expect that the differential of interest rates between two countries should be offset by an opposite evolution of the exchange...

Modelling and forecasting of asset volatility and covariance is of prime importance in the construction of portfolios. In this paper, we present a generalised multi-factor model that incorporates heteroskedasticity and dependence in the idiosyncratic error terms. We apply this model to...

With the exception of naive methods for portfolio selection, such as the equal weighted approaches, all other methods of portfolio allocation are more or less sensitive to the quality of the inputs considered in constructing the models and risk measures utilised in the allocation framework. The...

This paper introduces a new Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) Python package called AdvEMDpy that is demonstrably more flexible and which generalises in numerous important ways the existing EMD packages available in Python, R, and MATLAB. The extensions introduced by this AdvEMDpy package both...

A novel hybrid Autoregressive Distributed Lag Mixed Data Sampling (ARDL-MIDAS) model is developed that integrates a combination of both deep neural network multi-head attention Transformer mechanisms and sophisticated stochastic text time-series feature and covariate constructions into a...

This tutorial explores the class of non-parametric time series basis decomposition methods particularly suited for non-stationary time series known as Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD). A detailed review of the state of the art statistical approaches that combine finite basis signal...