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This study attempts to illustrate the contributing factors for different patterns of crashes. In addition to the fundamental macro-economic factors, this paper argues that the existence of herding behavior as well as the level of investor attention are also important factors affecting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953849
Rationality” is a term that comes up often during investment conversations, and yet it has not been definitively … defined. For example, economists and investors each use and define the term rationality differently. The objective of this … note is to profile three general definitions of the term “rationality,” and then to demonstrate how one of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955676
Assuming that agents' preferences satisfy first-order stochastic dominance, we show how the Expected Utility paradigm can rationalize all optimal investment choices: the optimal investment strategy in any behavioral law-invariant (state-independent) setting corresponds to the optimum for an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034282
. Using a data for five international capital markets in developed countries we find that the hypothesis of rationality losses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118228
The equilibrium prices in asset markets, as stated by Keynes (1930): "...will be fixed at the point at which the sales of the bears and the purchases of the bulls are balanced." We propose a descriptive theory of finance explicating Keynes' claim that the prices of assets today equilibrate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051869
This study unambiguously demonstrates that, absent independent establishment of boundary rationality conditions for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860868
The paper studies the behavior of individuals in situations of probabilistic uncertainty, wherein randomness is simulated to promote rational decision-making. Behavioral heuristics like Mean Reversion, Mental Accounting, Ambiguity, and Overconfidence were observed even in situations of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403220
We find consistent evidence of negative autocorrelation in decision-making that is unrelated to the merits of the cases considered in three separate high-stakes field settings: refugee asylum court decisions, loan application reviews, and major league baseball umpire pitch calls. The evidence is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014139776
I use classification-based machine-learning methods to decompose 32 anomaly payoffsinto risk exposures and mispricing. The component driven by risk earns statistically insignificantreturns, despite its efficacy in explaining the time-series variation in anomaly payoffs.The mispricing component...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251341
In this paper we introduce a simple, yet flexible approach to construct (enhanced) index tracking portfolios. PADME (Portfolio Allocation via Density MatchEs) uses the density function of returns as a robust means of capturing investor preferences, and identifies suitable portfolios through a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250514