In this paper, we propose a novel measure of uncertainty based, unlike previous measures, solely on credit market information and on an extensive CDS dataset. More specifically, we use the CDS monthly time-series data of 225 corporate firms to construct a time-varying measure of credit market...

This paper assesses the role of the political environment in the timing of financial crises over a sample of 85 countries during the period 1975-2017. We consider systemic banking, currency, and sovereign debt crises in addition to twin and triple crises. Using a fixed effects logit model, this...