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We develop a nonparametric procedure, called the lattice method, for testing the consistency of contingent consumption data with a broad class of models of choice under risk and under uncertainty. Our method allows for risk loving and elation seeking behavior and can be used to calculate, via...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671892
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001387124
Asset demand tests for Expected Utility have almost universally been implemented in contingent claim settings where markets are complete. However when markets are incomplete, these tests cannot be applied since contingent claim prices cannot be uniquely recovered from given asset prices and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998148
Two well-known violations of Expected Utility Theory (EUT) are the Allais Paradox and the preference reversal between gamble choices and gamble bids. The Allais Paradox undermines the independence axiom, according to which the preferences for two gambles should be unaffected by an independent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951263
Building on the isomorphism between the theories of risk aversion and precautionary saving, an objective index of prudent behavior is introduced, which generalizes the riskiness index set forth by Aumann and Serrano (2008). A benchmark framework for the monotone relation between risk aversion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088201
We show how optimal saving in a two-period model is affected when prudence and risk aversion of the underlying utility function change. Increasing prudence alone will induce higher savings only if, for certain combinations of the interest rate and the pure time discount rate, there is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003772158
This paper analyzes optimal hedging of a tradable risk (e.g. price risk or exchange rate risk) with forward contracts in the presence of untradable inflation risk. Utility is defined over real wealth. Optimal forward positions are derived relative to a given initial exposure in the tradable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543537
The literature typically attributes the Allais Paradox to a violation of the Independence Axiom. We present experimental data showing that violations of the Reduction of Compound Lotteries Axiom are significantly more problematic, and our findings are robust to both choice and pricing tasks. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843741
This paper studies the relation between concavity, stochastic or state dependent utility functions, and risk aversion. Using the common definition of risk aversion, but modified for state dependent preferences, we show that concavity does not imply risk aversion. Instead, it implies a weaker...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844461
This paper uses the notion of augmented utility to summarize models of utility maximization (MUM). The models covered include non-separable utility maximization and common behavioral models of discounting. Moreover, the paper provides as novel special cases necessary and sufficient conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826779