Based on the approach advanced by Elliott et al. (Rev. Ec. Studies. 72, 1197..1125, 2005), we analyzed whether the loss function of a sample of exchange rate forecasters is asymmetric in the forecast error. Using forecasts of the euro/dollar exchange rate, we found that the shape of the loss...

In diesem Beitrag stellen wir zwei Modelle vor, in denen die Einführung eines lender of the last resort den Geschäftsbankensektor entscheidend beeinflusst. Im ersten Fall ist die Einführung stabilisierend, im zweiten Modell hingegen destabilisierend. Die beiden Modelle eignen sich...

We use a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (STR) model to study nonlinearities in the expectation-formation process in the U.S. stock market. To this end, we use data from the Livingston survey to investigate how the importance of regressive and extrapolative expectations fluctuates over time...