From July 1978 to April 1989 Taiwan adopted a snake system by allowing the foreign exchange rate to fluctuate within a narrow band of the centered rate. Using monthly data on the Taiwan dollar/U.S. dollar exchange rate, we show that inference on the purchasing power parity hypothesis is...

We compare Bayesian and sample theory model specification criteria. For the Bayesian criteria we use the deviance information criterion and the cumulative density of the mean squared errors of forecast. For the sample theory criterion we use the conditional Kolmogorov test. We use Markov chain...