Multi-period-ahead forecasts of returns' variance are used in most areas of applied finance where long horizon measures of risk are necessary. Yet, the major focus in the variance forecasting literature has been on one-period-ahead forecasts. In this paper, we compare several approaches of...

Multiperiod-ahead forecasts of returns’ variance are used in most areas of applied finance where long-horizon measures of risk are necessary. Yet, the major focus in the variance forecasting literature has been on one-period-ahead forecasts. In this review, we compare several approaches of...

In this paper we measure the systemic risk in a set of large international banks. We first measure the contribution of a financial institution to international systemic risk. Importantly, we show the existence of an asymmetric non-linear contribution of banks to systemic risk depending on...