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A high growth rate in labor hours per worker signals low future stock market returns and high future hiring. In the presence of an increase in the number of labor hours per worker, hiring becomes less responsive to the future discount rate. The growth rate in the number of labor hours per worker...
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Production decisions provide a credible indicator of future costs of capital perceived by corporate insiders and so may forecast future stock returns. We find that, under decreasing returns to scale, investment returns correlate imperfectly with stock returns and that higher profitability and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080553
Many anomalies are based on firm characteristics and are rebalanced yearly, ignoring any information during the year. In this paper, we provide dynamic trading strategies to rebalance the anomaly portfolios monthly. For eight major anomalies, we find that these dynamic trading strategies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904194
Individual environmental variables may contain information obscured in aggregate environmental scores for return forecasting. We apply machine learning methods to granular environmental variables and find that a long-short portfolio that longs stocks with high forecasted returns and sells stocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353520
This paper examines how options traders trade daily stock market mispricing measured by short-term past return and put-call option volatility spread. Anomaly return is 7.31 basis points per day when customer option traders trade along with the anomaly signal and is insignificant when they trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236493
Individual environmental variables may contain information that is obscured in aggregate environmental scores when forecasting future stock returns. We apply machinelearning methods to granular environmental variables and show that a long-short portfolio that longs stocks with high forecasted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237633