Showing 1 - 10 of 7,834
This paper derives and estimates an aggregate Euler consumption equation which allows one to compare the importance of collateral constraints and non-separability of consumption and leisure as alternative sources of excess sensitivity of consumption to current income. Estimation results suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158381
This paper examines the welfare cost of rare housing disasters characterized by large drops in house prices. I … construct an overlapping generations general equilibrium model with recursive preferences and housing disaster shocks. The … likelihood and magnitude of housing disasters are inferred from historic housing market experiences in the OECD. The model shows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302010
The paper presents a model of housing and credit cycles featuring distorted beliefs and comovement and mutual …) development in house prices fuels optimism (pessimism) and credit expansion (contraction), which in turn boost (dampen) housing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012010535
The risk premium puzzle is even worse than previously reported if housing is also taken into consideration next to … equity. While housing premia are only moderately smaller than equity premia, they are significantly less volatile and the … Sharpe ratio of housing is significantly larger. Hence, three question arise: i) are existing approaches to explain the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180532
In this study, the relation between consumer credit and real economic activity during the Great Moderation is studied in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. Our model economy is populated by two different household types. Investors, who hold the economy's capital stock, own the firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028652
Not necessarily. I provide evidence that advanced countries' equity premium and consumption growth differ significantly from those of emerging countries. I then estimate distinct disaster risk parameters for these two country groups. My Bayesian analysis demonstrates that in some aspects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902819
The interest rate at which US firms borrow funds has two features: (i) it moves in a countercyclical fashion and (ii) it is an inverted leading indicator of real economic activity: low interest rates forecast booms in GDP, consumption, investment, and employment. We show that a Kiyotaki-Moore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903888
This paper studies the importance of idiosyncratic endowment shocks for aggregate asset prices in continuous time. My generalized framework accommodates jumps and heterogeneous recursive preferences. I show that countercyclical cross-sectional risk is irrelevant to risk premia if and only if all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237723
The paper examines three aspects of a financial crisis of domestic origin. The first section studies the evolution of a debt-financed consumption boom supported by rising asset prices, leading to a credit crunch and fluctuations in the real economy, and, ultimately, to debt deflation. The next...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143561
In this paper our main aim is to quantify the role that housing collateral plays for the monetary transmission …-to-value ratio, in the last two decades. We set up a two sector DSGE model with production of goods and housing. Households can only …. We quantify the reinforcement of the monetary transmission mechanism that housing used as collateral implies in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143722