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We build a model for bond yields based on a small-scale representation of an economy with secular declines in inflation …, the real rate and output growth. Long-run restrictions identify nominal shocks that influence long-run inflation but do … results show that, before the anchoring of inflation around the mid-1990s, nominal shocks lifted the output gap and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012488074
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The recovery from the Global Financial Crisis was characterized by sluggish output growth and by inflation remaining … persistently below the inflation targets of central banks in many advanced economies despite an unprecedented monetary expansion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976123
The recovery from the Global Financial Crisis was characterized by sluggish output growth and by inflation remaining … persistently below the inflation targets of central banks in many advanced economies despite an unprecedented monetary expansion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022449
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014567134
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We analyze fiscal rules within a Monetary Union in the presence of (i) asymmetric information on member states' potential output and (ii) bail-out among member states. The first-best deficit is contingent on the cycle, that is, on member states' output gap. In the presence of asymmetric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011705510
Policymakers often use the output gap, a noisy signal of economic activity, as a guide for setting monetary policy. Noise in the data argues for policy caution. At the same time, the zero bound on nominal interest rates constrains the central bank's ability to stimulate the economy during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104578
We analyze fiscal rules within a Monetary Union in the presence of (i) asymmetric information about member states' potential output and, therefore, output gap and (ii) bail-out among member states. In our framework, bail-out lowers the scope for signalling (discrimination) by member states...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714310
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