A common finding in laboratory studies is that subjects anchor on irrelevant initial cues when valuing assets. We run a field experiment to examine whether this heuristic can be exploited to manipulate prices in real markets. We provide early quotes in a series of horse race betting markets, and...

We conduct a field experiment to see if market liquidity has a causal effect on price efficiency and, if so, why. We randomly provide liquidity in certain horse race betting markets, and not in others. We find that prices in treated markets are indeed more efficient than prices in control...

Bayesian inference is developed and applied for an extended Nelson–Siegel term structure model capturing interest rate risk. The so-called Stochastic Volatility Nelson–Siegel (SVNS) model allows for stochastic volatility in the underlying yield factors. A Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)...

In this paper, we develop and apply Bayesian inference for an extended Nelson-Siegel (1987) term structure model capturing interest rate risk. The so-called Stochastic Volatility Nelson-Siegel (SVNS) model allows for stochastic volatility in the underlying yield factors. We propose a Markov...

We develop Bayesian techniques for estimation and model comparison in a novel Generalised Stochastic Unit Root (GSTUR) model. This allows us to investigate the presence of a deterministic time trend in economic series, while allowing the degree of persistence to change over time. In particular...